InfoWARE AI Analyst Daily Market Report: 09-Apr-2025

InfoWARE AI Analyst Daily Market Report: 09-Apr-2025
(Source: InfoWARE Terminal, Date: 09-Apr-2025)

Dear Investor,

NGX Market Summary - Monday, April 7, 2025

Key Market Performance

The NGX All-Share Index (ASI) fell -1.23% to close at 105,511.89, trimming YTD gains to +1.00%. Market breadth remained weak at 0.16x (9 advancers vs 56 decliners), though turnover surged +28.2% to ₦9.81B. The Naira weakened slightly to ₦1,539/USD (-0.20%).

🔍 Critical Observations

Momentum Extremes: VFDGROUP (+10%) hit overbought RSI 83.4 while OANDO (-10%) plunged to oversold RSI 26.1
Institutional Dominance: Institutions drove 85.93% of trade value despite only 12.94% of trade count
Volume Surges: FCMB saw +503% volume spike, MBENEFIT +673% - both insurance stocks

📊 Technical Crosscurrents

Stock	Price	RSI	MACD Signal	15D/50D MA
ABBEYBDS	₦5.15	98.4 (Extreme OB)	Bullish Crossover	▲15D > ▼50D
OANDO	₦37.80	26.1 (Severe OS)	Bearish Expansion	▼15D < ▼50D

⚠️ Contrarian Signals

TOTAL (+9.61% today, RSI 77.8) remains a YTD underperformer at +6.73%
GUINEAINS (+9.52%) shows bearish MACD divergence despite price surge
ZENITHBANK (Institutional favorite) trades at PE 3.33 vs sector average 6.10

🏦 Institutional Clustering

Stock	Inst. Trade Share	Beta	Dividend Yield
GTCO	19.80%	1.09	1.88%
ZENITHBANK	12.07%	1.20	2.25%

💡 Trader's Edge

Defensive Plays: NSLTECH offers 15.87% yield at Beta 0.68
Momentum Watch: VFDGROUP's 15D MA crossing 50D MA suggests extended rally
Sector Rotation: Insurance stocks show mixed signals - GUINEAINS volume surge vs MBENEFIT institutional selling

📈 Retail vs Institutional Activity

Metric	Retail	Institutional
Trade Count	87.06%	12.94%
Trade Value	14.07%	85.93%

Notable Divergence: Retail dominated ACCESSCORP (1004 trades) while institutions concentrated on GTCO (19.8% value share). Banking stocks accounted for 63% of institutional flow vs 41% retail.

🚨 Critical Warning

ABBEYBDS shows extreme overbought conditions (RSI 98.4) despite +71.67% YTD gain. Combined with zero PE ratio, this suggests speculative frenzy disconnected from fundamentals.

Disclaimer: This market summary has been generated using InfoWARE's advanced AI tools and data analysis techniques. While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy and reliability, this content should be used for informational purposes only and should not constitute financial advice. Always consult a professional advisor before making investment decisions.

Top ASI Gainers Over Last 5 Trading Days

Symbol	Price	%Chg5Dys	%Chg1Dy	%ChgWTD	%ChgMTD	%ChgQTD	%ChgYTD
VFDGROUP	66.00	27.37	10.00	15.79	39.88	39.88	63.51
ABBEYBDS	5.58	17.97	0.00	8.35	17.97	17.97	86.00
NGXGROUP	32.45	9.86	9.86	9.86	22.93	22.93	30.83
TOTAL	745.00	9.61	0.00	0.00	9.61	9.61	6.73
UNIONDICON	5.80	9.48	9.48	9.48	19.81	19.81	-11.81
INTENEGINS	1.64	9.33	0.00	0.00	9.33	9.33	-12.30
GUINEAINS	0.69	7.94	-1.45	-1.45	7.94	7.94	-23.60
CHAMPION	3.75	5.33	5.33	5.33	-3.42	-3.42	3.67
NASCON	41.80	4.64	5.14	4.64	2.21	2.21	46.50
SIAMLETF40	300.00	4.00	4.00	4.00	4.00	4.00	-61.00

Top ASI Losers Over Last 5 Trading Days

Symbol	Price	%Chg5Dys	%Chg1Dy	%ChgWTD	%ChgMTD	%ChgQTD	%ChgYTD
ROYALEX	0.83	-18.81	-1.20	-10.87	-24.77	-24.77	-25.45
LASACO	1.92	-17.95	0.00	-9.86	-20.99	-20.99	-43.36
OMATEK	0.58	-17.19	-8.62	-8.62	-19.70	-19.70	-33.75
CAVERTON	2.10	-15.32	0.00	-7.08	-9.48	-9.48	-17.65
SOVRENINS	0.92	-15.00	-7.61	-6.59	-12.37	-12.37	-30.89
CORNERST	2.97	-14.85	-5.39	-5.39	-14.85	-14.85	-29.04
LINKASSURE	1.20	-13.53	-4.17	-12.21	-12.21	-12.21	-10.85
MAYBAKER	6.70	-13.38	1.49	-4.23	-20.93	-20.93	-27.66
UPDC	2.68	-12.70	2.61	-7.41	-8.33	-8.33	58.96
RTBRISCOE	1.95	-12.50	7.69	-2.78	-6.25	-6.25	-23.64

For more detailed analysis, on InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <NSEPERF> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App (Android, iPhone & iPad, Windows Phone and Windows 8/10), "Top Gainers & Losers"

LIVESTOCK FEEDS PLC. (LIVESTOCK) topped the advancers list closing at N8.03 with a gain of 10.00% followed by VFD GROUP PLC (VFDGROUP) which closed at N72.60 with a gain of 10.00%.

On the flip side HALDANE MCCALL PLC (HMCALL) and LEARN AFRICA PLC (LEARNAFRCA) topped the decliners log with a loss of -10.00% at a close of N5.22, and -10.00% to close the day at N2.97 respectively.

Top Gainers

Symbol	LClose	%Chg
LIVESTOCK	8.03	10.00
VFDGROUP	72.60	10.00
NGXGROUP	35.65	9.86
WAPIC	1.94	9.60
UNIONDICON	6.35	9.48

Top Losers

Symbol	LClose	%Chg
HMCALL	5.22	-10.00
LEARNAFRCA	2.97	-10.00
ETI	26.85	-9.90
PZ	30.10	-9.88
UNILEVER	34.70	-9.75

For more detailed analysis,

On InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <TOPG> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App ( Android, iPhone & iPad and Windows 10) , "Top Gainers & Losers"

Currency Market

In the currency market, the Naira fell 0.13%(-2.06) against the Dollar to settle at 1 to 1

NSE: Bull Signal - Price crossed above 15 Day MA

This signal implies these stocks are under buying pressure and the price might continue to rise and therefore positions should be monitored closely. Further suggested analysis include looking at the overall market (ASI) to see if the uptrend is market wide, sector wide or specific to the stock. Portfolio managers tend to use this as a signal to do more research to add to their positions or lock in some profits. Typically further analysis should be done using commands like PC and RV on the InfoWARE Market Data Terminal. Another command is ALERTS to set price triggers for possible exit or entry as necessary

For more detailed analysis,

On InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <NSEPERF> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App ( Android , iPhone & iPad and Windows 10) , "Top Gainers & Losers"

Symbol	Price	%Chg	15DMA	PE	EPS	DivY	MktCap	Vol	Trades	Value	LstTradeTime
MCNICHOLS	1.60	6.25	1.59	26.80	0.05	5.88	1.15B	176.00K	8.00	277.68K	09-Apr-2025 14:31:58.000
CHAMPION	3.95	5.06	3.89	412.83	0.01	0.41	30.93B	172.49K	15.00	679.95K	09-Apr-2025 14:30:37.710
NASCON	43.95	4.89	43.45	24.28	1.33	3.09	116.44B	1.68M	114.00	71.52M	09-Apr-2025 14:30:42.410
NGXGROWTH	7,385.39	0.31	7,385.00	18.83	0.18	0.00	0.00	939.55K	52.00	3.45M	09-Apr-2025 14:30:56.213

NSE: BEAR Signal - Price crossed below 15 Day MA

This signal implies these stocks are under selling pressure and the price might continue to slide and therefore positions should be monitored closely. Further suggested analysis include looking at the overall market (ASI) to see if the downtrend is market wide, sector wide or specific to the stock. If the overal market trend is upwards, then since these stocks are heading in the opposite direction, then further analysis should be done using commands like PC and RV on the InfoWARE Market Data Terminal. Another command is ALERTS to set price triggers for possible exit is necessar

For more detailed analysis,

On InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <BEARM> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App ( Android , iPhone & iPad and Windows 10)

Symbol	Price	%Chg	15DMA	PE	EPS	DivY	MktCap	Vol	Trades	Value	LstTradeTime
FGSUK2032S5	100.00	0.00	100.04			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	09-Apr-2025 14:30:54.327
GUINEAINS	0.68	-1.47	0.69	66.79	0.01	1.96	4.18B	1.13M	46.00	768.75K	09-Apr-2025 14:30:40.057
FIDELITYBK	17.90	-3.35	18.42	13.24	1.17	5.48	518.65B	7.40M	307.00	133.51M	09-Apr-2025 14:30:39.630
UNILEVER	34.70	-10.81	38.06	67.09	0.40	2.81	199.35B	2.44M	77.00	84.74M	09-Apr-2025 14:30:45.353
ETI	26.85	-10.99	29.18	5.00	5.10	2.00	492.69B	2.38M	38.00	64.63M	09-Apr-2025 14:30:39.383
LEARNAFRCA	2.97	-11.11	3.18	5.79	0.51	8.53	2.29B	2.52M	26.00	7.50M	09-Apr-2025 14:30:41.513

Market Trend - ASI (NGX All-Share-Index) With 50 & 200 Day MAvgs Chart

Technical traders typically use the 50 & 200 day moving averages to aid in choosing where to enter or exit a position, which then causes these levels to act as strong support or resistance. As a general guideline, if the price is above a moving average, the trend is up. If the price is below a moving average, the trend is down.
It is important to note that critics of technical analysis say that moving averages act as support and resistance because so many traders use these indicators to inform their trading decisions. Also moving averages tend to work quite well in strong trending conditions but poorly in choppy or ranging conditions.
Trading Strategies: Crossovers
Crossovers are one of the main moving average strategies. The first type is a price crossover, which is when the price crosses above or below a moving average to signal a potential change in trend. Another strategy is to apply two moving averages to a chart: one longer and one shorter. When the shorter-term MA crosses above the longer-term MA, it is a buy signal, as it indicates that the trend is shifting up. This is known as a golden cross. Meanwhile, when the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term MA, it is a sell signal, as it indicates that the trend is shifting down. This is known as a dead/death cross

For more detailed analysis,

On InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <CI> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App ( Android , iPhone & iPad and Windows 10) , "Research"

Unusual Volume: Volume traded is more than double the 90 day moving average (All exchanges; ASI & ASem). For more detailed analysis,

On InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <UV> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App ( Android , iPhone & iPad and Windows 10)

Symbol	Name	Volume	90DAvgVol	%VolChg	Price	LClose	%Chg	Trades	Value
GTCO	GUARANTY TRUST HOLDING COMPANY PLC	62.88M	15.36M	309.39	64.80	65.95	-1.74	786	4.10B
MBENEFIT	MUTUAL BENEFITS ASSURANCE PLC.	18.20M	3.13M	480.83	0.86	0.92	-6.52	92	16.62M
HMCALL	HALDANE MCCALL PLC	11.54M	273.50K	4,119.94	5.22	5.80	-10.00	8	60.25M
NGXGROUP	NIGERIAN EXCHANGE GROUP	8.04M	1.12M	618.82	35.65	32.45	9.86	132	261.86M
MTNN	MTN NIGERIA PLC	5.17M	2.00M	157.72	245.00	245.00	0.00	374	1.18B

Investment Insights - High Div. Stocks

Dividend stocks distribute a portion of the company earnings to investors on a regular basis and they can a great choice for investors looking for regular income. As an investment or trading strategy, high dividend yield equities provide annual cash payments as against mostly capital gains in the price of a stock. The list in the table below represent the highest dividend paying stocks from the list of the most liquid stocks in the NSE top 30.

For more detailed analysis,

On InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <HYIELD> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App ( Android , iPhone & iPad and Windows 10) , "Research"

Investment Insights - Stocks outperforming the ASI but with approximately the same risk

These list of stocks represent equities that are less risky than the ASI but doing better than the ASI (All Shares Index) using the YTD (Year to Date) returns as the measure. The risk is measured by Beta. Beta is an assessment of a stock's tendency to undergo price changes, (its volatility), as well as its potential returns compared to the ASI. It is expressed as a ratio, where a score of 1 represents performance comparable to the ASI, and returns above or below the market may receive scores greater or lower than 1.

For a full list of both positively and negatively corelated stocks visit InfoWARE Market Data Terminal

On InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <BANL> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App ( Android , iPhone & iPad and Windows 10)

Symbol	DivYield	PE	EPS	Beta	%ChgYTD	ASIYTDReturn	BetaDiff
HONYFLOUR	1.40	16.28	0.31	0.99	46.68	0.98	0.01
FIDELITYBK	5.48	13.24	1.17	0.89	5.29	0.98	0.11
HMCALL	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.74	7.19	0.98	0.26
VETGOODS	0.00			0.71	14.24	0.98	0.29
VETGRIF30	0.00			0.71	6.36	0.98	0.29
ABBEYBDS	1.43	0.00	0.00	0.70	86.00	0.98	0.30
NEM	6.52	24.99	0.37	0.69	7.50	0.98	0.31
TANTALIZER	1.50	0.00	0.00	0.69	3.11	0.98	0.31
NAHCO	6.66	92.98	0.41	0.65	31.15	0.98	0.35
VETBANK	0.00			0.57	14.68	0.98	0.43

African Markets

Name	LClose	Change	%Chg
BRVM Stock Exchange	288.73	0.98	0.34
Botswana Stock Exchange	10,103.52	0.00	0.00
Egyptian Exchange	31,699.58	-326.67	-1.02
Ghana Stock Exchange	6,097.08	30.94	0.51
Lusaka Stock Exchange	16,261.98	-106.39	-0.65
Casablanca Stock Exchange	17,232.49	-25.89	-0.15
Malawi Stock Exchange	292,054.60	-233.83	-0.08
Nigeria Stock Exchange	105,511.89	-10.55	-0.01
Nairobi Securities Exchange	131.51	0.26	0.20
Rwanda Stock Exchange	149.01	0.18	0.12
Uganda Securities Exchange	1,307.34	6.37	0.49

Nigeria Market Indexes

Symbol	LClose	%Chg	WTD%	MTD%	QTD%	YTD%	Trades
ASI	104,187.00	-0.18	-0.03	-1.29	-1.29	0.98	10,701
NGX30	3,869.34	-0.23	-0.02	-1.27	-1.27	1.43	5,964
NGXAFRBVI	2,534.14	-0.84	1.13	-4.84	-4.84	2.15	3,247
NGXAFRHDYI	15,944.03	-0.41	0.55	-4.21	-4.21	-6.36	3,046
NGXASEM	1,588.92	0.00	0.00	0.06	0.06	0.33	1
NGXBNK	1,101.53	-1.60	0.25	-5.11	-5.11	1.30	3,341
NGXCG	2,887.81	-0.80	0.33	-4.07	-4.07	2.07	6,287
NGXCNSMRGDS	1,777.96	-0.23	-0.39	-2.07	-2.07	2.51	858
NGXCOMMDTY	1,002.53	0.00	0.00	-0.10	-0.10	0.25
NGXGROWTH	7,385.39	0.31	0.24	-0.09	-0.09	-4.86	52
NGXINDUSTR	3,476.52	-0.04	-0.16	-0.38	-0.38	-2.66	431
NGXINS	609.74	2.67	-1.51	-10.37	-10.37	-22.44	799
NGXLOTUSISLM	7,463.67	0.23	-0.66	-1.20	-1.20	7.12	1,241
NGXMAINBOARD	4,997.07	-0.17	-0.27	-1.27	-1.27	-0.14	7,601
NGXMERIGRW	6,584.70	-0.95	-0.86	-4.01	-4.01	0.94	1,440
NGXMERIVAL	10,042.42	0.28	1.51	-2.44	-2.44	-3.72	3,530
NGXOILGAS	2,426.20	0.47	0.51	-0.83	-0.83	-10.51	199
NGXPENBRD	1,864.75	-0.28	-0.11	-1.27	-1.27	1.81	8,692
NGXPENSION	4,650.79	-0.71	-0.19	-2.84	-2.84	2.58	6,705
NGXPREMIUM	10,038.92	-0.21	0.42	-1.25	-1.25	3.14	3,048
NGXSOVBND	627.52	0.00	-0.02	0.11	0.11	4.32	0

For more detailed analysis,

On InfoWARE Market Data Terminal <MKTINS> <GO>
On InfoWARE Finance Mobile App ( Android, iPhone & iPad and Windows 10) , "Market Indexes"

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